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Dynamic Consensus Building: the Rise and Fall of a Technology Standard(9月8日開催)

日時 2026年9月8日(火) 15時~16時40分
場所 対面のみ(センター会議室( 赤門総合研究棟5F )
題目 Dynamic Consensus Building: the Rise and Fall of a Technology Standard
報告者 石田 潤一郎(大阪大学社会経済研究所)
使用言語 日本語

報告要旨

In many social contexts, an alternative generates value only if enough parties commit to it. Examples of this situation abound. A classic example is technology adoption with network externalities, where a technology becomes profitable only once a critical mass of firms adopt it. In this type of situation, someone must take the initiative, hoping that others will follow. But when is such an initial move credible enough to persuade others to get on board? Does this process reliably lead to the "right" choice in the long run? If not, what factors may push a group of agents into an unfavorable choice? This paper develops a framework to address these questions and derive welfare and policy implications for dynamic consensus formation. Our framework can also be applied to coalition formation in politics.

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